Scatter plot of jobs vs. exposure with a downward trend. Labeled points: Electricians, Nurses, Cashiers, Lawyers, Accounts, Service Reps. There has been a lot of noise about AI replacing jobs, but most of it has been based on "theoretical capability"—what a model could  do in a vacuum. A new report from Anthropic ("Labor market impacts of AI: A new measure and early evidence") just changed the conversation by looking at Observed Exposure . Instead of asking "Can AI code?", th

Project Iceberg If you look at the headlines, you might think the AI revolution is primarily a crisis for Silicon Valley or the tech sector. We read daily about layoffs in big tech, shrinking entry-level coding roles, and the anxiety of software engineers watching algorithms write code faster than they can. But new research suggests that what we are seeing in the tech sector is a deceptive anomaly. According to Project ICEBERG , a landmark study by researchers at MIT and Oak